BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCINE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024
1000 AM CDT THU SEP 12 2024
...FRANCINE NOW LOCATED OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
...HEAVY RAINFALL STILL SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI,
ALABAMA, AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 90.1W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNE OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
ALL STORM SURGE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FRANCINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H),
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF
FRANCINE WILL MOVE OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND MOVE INTO NORTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND FRANCINE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
FROM THE JACKSON AREA IS 996 MB (29.42 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR FRANCINE CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT41 KNHC.
WIND: WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL-STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN ALABAMA.
RAINFALL: FRANCINE IS EXPECTED TO BRING STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 4 TO
8 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI, EASTERN ARKANSAS,
TENNESSEE, ALABAMA, GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF ALABAMA, THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE, AND GEORGIA. THIS RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
FRANCINE, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT1.SHTML?RAINQPF AND THE FLASH FLOOD RISK
GRAPHIC AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT1.SHTML?ERO. FOR A LIST OF
RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS (AND WIND REPORTS) ASSOCIATED THIS STORM, SEE
THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS1 WITH THE WMO HEADER ACUS41
KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC1.HTML.
STORM SURGE: WATER LEVELS REMAIN ELEVATED ALONG THE GULF COAST
BETWEEN EASTERN LOUISIANA AND ALABAMA BUT WILL RECEDE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.
TORNADOES: A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE, SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA, AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY FRANCINE SHOULD SUBSIDE ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
BEGINNING AT 400 PM CDT, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER
WTNT31 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV.
RAINFALL FORECASTS FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN ALWAYS BE FOUND AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
AND OUTLOOKS OF FLASH FLOOD RISKS CAN BE FOUND AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESSIVE_RAINFALL_OUTLOOK_ERO.PHP
$$
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